Indiana Fever
Kelsey Mitchell and Caitlin Clark score 34 apiece as the Fever beat the Sun, 111–91
The Fever covered DraftKings’ 17.5-point line and the game cleared 177.5 by 24.5. The Fever trailed 28–19 after one quarter.
The read
Kelsey Mitchell and Caitlin Clark scored 34 apiece as the Indiana Fever beat the Connecticut Sun 111–91 on Friday, August 28 — 68 of the Fever’s 111 points, 61.3% of the team’s scoring. Against DraftKings’ line, relayed by ESPN, the Fever were favored by 17.5; they covered by 2.5, and the game went over the 177.5 total by 24.5. The question for the next slate is how much of that scoring repeats.
The performances
Kelsey Mitchell: 34 points on 12-of-19 shooting (4-of-9 from three), 6-of-10 at the line in 31 minutes, a +14 in her minutes. By ESPN’s shot locations, 3-of-8 from above the break, 5-of-5 at the rim and 2-of-4 from midrange. She came into the game averaging 24.9 points over 40 games of the 2026 regular season, so this was 9.1 above it and 5.6 above her 28.4 over the previous 10 — her recent baseline was already running 3.5 above her season, so this is less of an outlier than the season number makes it look.
Caitlin Clark: 34 points and 12 assists on 12-of-19 shooting (6-of-12 from three), 4-of-6 at the line in 34 minutes, a +32 in her minutes. By ESPN’s shot locations, 6-of-12 from above the break, 3-of-3 at the rim and 1-of-2 in the paint outside the restricted area. She came into the game averaging 22 points over 36 games of the 2026 regular season, so this was 12 above it and 10.6 above her 23.4 over the previous 10.
How it happened
It did not start that way: the Sun led 28–19 after one quarter and by as many as 14. The second quarter was the swing — the Fever won it 39–15, with a 16-0 run from 3:46 to 0:47 of that quarter — and they led 58–43 at halftime. The game had six lead changes; the Fever’s largest lead was 23.
The Fever did it with their starters: their bench scored 12 to the Sun’s 37. For the Sun, Diamond Miller scored 19 (5-of-12) and Nell Angloma 17 (7-of-13).
The Fever made 39-67 from the field (58%) and 12-29 from three; the Sun 35-76 (46%). Turnovers ran 12–17, and points off turnovers 20–23 in the Sun’s favor — the margin came from shooting, not possession control. Rebounds went 34–26, points in the paint 46–38.
The counter-case
The case against reading it forward: Kelsey Mitchell’s previous-10 average (28.4) already sat 3.5 above her season mark, so against recent form the game is a smaller outlier than the season averages make it look; the Fever gave up more points off turnovers than they scored, 23–20. One game is a sample of one.
What matters next
After the result the Fever were 26-14 and the Sun 10-29 (team schedules through August 28). The Fever’s 111 was 14.4 above the 96.6 a game they averaged entering it.
The opponent does not explain it away: the Sun allow 87.8 points a game on the season (standings as of Sep 11), 7th-most of 15 — a middle-of-the-table defense.
Next: IND at TOR on Sep 18, where the market consensus has the Fever favored by 11.5 with a total of 189.5 (PropBetEdge capture, Sep 11, 8 books) — and the Tempo allow 93.8 a game, the most in the league; CON at ATL on Sep 17, where the market consensus has the Dream favored over the Sun by 14.5 with a total of 169.5 (PropBetEdge capture, Sep 11, 9 books). Prop lines for Kelsey Mitchell and Caitlin Clark are captured only inside 36 hours of tip, and they are the market that has to digest these performances.
Betting relevance
The 202 combined points went over the 177.5 total.
Kelsey Mitchell (34 points against 24.9 entering the game and 28.4 over her previous 10) and Caitlin Clark (34 points against 22 entering the game and 23.4 over her previous 10) are the lines the next prop market has to price.
Markets touched: Line
Market evidence
Market reference: DraftKings via ESPN (a single sportsbook). PropBetEdge began storing its own market captures on September 11, 2026, so no PropBetEdge capture exists for this game.
Unknowns
How the market prices both teams on the next slate beyond the stored captures.
Whether the next posted prop lines adjust to these performances.
Evidence & methodology4 cited records · how this story was built
Records cited
- ESPN box score + play-by-play + shot locations · source ↗
- ESPN team schedules (records after the game, scoring entering it) · source ↗
- ESPN standings (standings as of Sep 11) · source ↗
- DraftKings line relayed by ESPN
How this story was built
Generated by PropBetEdge’s deterministic newsroom (wnba-articles/1.2.0) and checked by the publication gate before release; betting relevance: actionable.
Editorial policy · Corrections & revisions · Methodology · Sources



